Defense & Safety: AI Roadmap to 2040

Three horizons. Concrete pilots. KPIs that prove it works.

Now (0–12 months)

  • Sensor fusion for detection; track quality baseline
  • Blue force tracking with identity and auth
  • After-action data capture standard

Next (12–36 months)

  • Autonomy in the loop with human command
  • Edge analytics; contested comms fallbacks
  • Training sims linked to live telemetry

2030–2040

  • Multi-domain decision loops with authority levels
  • Attritable systems; resilient networks

Architecture notes

  • Zero-trust identity; signed data; tamper-evident logs
  • Mission twin; policy engine; red-team exercises

KPIs

  • Detection accuracy; time to decision; comms uptime
  • Training hours; sim-to-real fidelity

First pilots

  • Sensor fusion pilot on one mission set
  • Edge analytics on a patrol route with audit

Risks & guardrails

  • Rules of engagement and safety; formalize controls
  • Supply chain compromise; signed artifacts; SBOM
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