Agriculture: AI Roadmap to 2040

Three horizons. Concrete pilots. KPIs that prove it works.

Now (0–12 months)

  • Field/asset IDs; soil + weather feeds normalized
  • Scouting with imagery; pest/disease alerts
  • Input usage logs with GPS/time

Next (12–36 months)

  • Variable-rate prescriptions (seed, fert, water)
  • Logistics: harvest to storage to market
  • Equipment health monitoring

2030–2040

  • Farm twin across fields; carbon/water outcomes
  • Autonomous operations on select passes

Architecture notes

  • Spatial data store; edge sync; device identity
  • Advisory models with human override; audit

KPIs

  • Yield; input per unit; water use efficiency
  • Soil health index; logistics cost/ton

First pilots

  • Variable-rate pilot on one field
  • Logistics optimizer for harvest week

Risks & guardrails

  • Data gaps; enforce device templates and QA
  • Weather shocks; scenarios and buffers
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